Jan 212016
  • Illegal Immigrants Are Far More Likely to Commit Serious Crimes Than the U.S. Public
    by justfacts on 2018-06-29 at 17:23

    By James D. Agresti June 29, 2018 President Trump recently held a conference with family members of U.S. citizens killed by illegal immigrants. The parents of nine people slain by such immigrants spoke about their family’s experiences, and Trump presented … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • Social Security Has Been Boosted, Not Looted
    by justfacts on 2018-06-19 at 16:13

    By James D. Agresti June 19, 2018 The newly released Social Security Trustees Report describes serious fiscal issues with the program and stresses that it should be reformed soon, or the situation will become much worse. However, public support for … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • Thomas Jefferson, Racism, and Slavery
    by justfacts on 2018-06-07 at 03:13

    By James D. Agresti and Amanda Read Sheik June 6, 2018 Thomas Jefferson was the primary author of the Declaration of Independence and the third president of the United States. Until recently, he was also one of the most widely … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • The Effects of Regulations on the Economy
    by justfacts on 2018-05-24 at 11:36

    By James D. Agresti May 24, 2018 In a New York Times article about President Trump scaling back regulations, reporters Binyamin Appelbaum and Jim Tankersley report “there is little historical evidence tying regulation levels to” economic growth. They support this … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • Insecticide Ban, Not Global Warming, Accords With Outbreak of Disease-Carrying Insects
    by justfacts on 2018-05-17 at 13:31

    By James D. Agresti and Rachel McCutcheon May 17, 2018 Politico claims that deadly insect-borne diseases are “on the rise” in the U.S. due to “warming global temperatures.” Although disease-carrying insect populations have increased greatly over the past several decades, … Continue reading &rarr […]

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Jan 132016

Dr. Spencer is an internationally recognized climatologist who explains things like why we do not know whether man is causing any climate change or not.

Or, is the planet really warming all over?

Roy Spencer, PhD. Climate Change Research Scientist, Author, Former NASA Scientist

  • Summer Causes Climate Change Hysteria
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-07-03 at 14:16

    Summers in the U.S. are hot. They always have been. Some are hotter than others. Speaking as a PhD meteorologist with 40 years experience, this week’s heat wave is nothing special. But judging from the memo released on June 22 by Public Citizen (a $17 million per year liberal/progressive consumer rights advocacy group originally formed […]

  • UAH Global Temperature Update for June, 2018: +0.21 deg. C
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-07-02 at 16:08

    The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for June, 2018 was +0.21 deg. C, up a little from the May value of +0.18 deg. C: Some regional LT departures from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 18 months are: YEAR MO GLOBE NHEM. SHEM. TROPIC USA48 ARCTIC AUST 2017 01 +0.33 […]

  • Antarctic Ice Sheet Collapses, Nobel Prizes, and the Psychology of Catastrophism
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-06-17 at 17:02

    Last week I had the privilege of being invited to present a talk at a small conference of world experts in a variety of disciplines. The venue was spectacular, on the French Riviera, and we had an entire late-1800s hotel to ourselves, right on the Mediterranean. For me, it was a once-in-a-lifetime experience. I had […]

  • UAH Global Temperature Update for May, 2018: +0.18 deg. C
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-06-01 at 15:16

    The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for May, 2018 was +0.18 deg. C, down a little from the April value of +0.21 deg. C: Some regional LT departures from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 17 months are: YEAR MO GLOBE NHEM. SHEM. TROPIC USA48 ARCTIC AUST 2017 01 +0.33 […]

  • Sea Level Rise: Human Portion is Small
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-05-25 at 16:33

    There is a continuing debate over sea level rise, especially how much will occur in the future. The most annoying part of the news media reporting on the issue is that they imply sea level rise is all the fault of humans. This is why the acceleration of sea level rise is what is usually […]

  • NASA satellite reveals extensive Hawaii SO2 cloud
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-05-22 at 23:05

    The eruption of Kilauea volcano on the Big Island of Hawaii has been unleashing a huge cloud of sulfur dioxide (SO2), which has been showing up in NASA’s Suomi satellite imagery every day. Yesterday, May 21, the cloud is shown here in false color, based upon measurements from the OMPS sensor on that satellite. Carried […]

  • In Defense of the Term “Greenouse Effect”
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-05-09 at 14:03

    Over the years I have gone along with the crowd and derided the term “greenhouse effect” as a poor analogy between the atmosphere’s ability to keep the Earth’s surfce warmer than it would be without IR-absorbing (and thus IR-emitting) gases, versus a greenhouse in which plants are grown. But the more I think about it, […]

  • UAH Global Temperature Update for April, 2018: +0.21 deg. C.
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-05-01 at 14:29

    The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for April, 2018 was +0.21 deg. C, down a little from the March value of +0.24 deg. C: Some regional LT departures from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 16 months are: YEAR MO GLOBE NHEM. SHEM. TROPIC USA48 ARCTIC AUST 2017 01 +0.33 […]

  • New Lewis & Curry Study Concludes Climate Sensitivity is Low
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-04-24 at 15:01

    Global warming “problem” cut by 50% As readers here are aware, I don’t usually critique published climate papers unless they are especially important to the climate debate. Too many papers are either not that important, or not that convincing to me. The holy grail of the climate debate is equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS): just how […]

  • The 100th Meridian Agricultural Scare: Another Example of Media Hype Exceeding Reality
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-04-18 at 15:52

    A new paper published in the AMS Earth Interactions entitled, Whither the 100th Meridian? The Once and Future Physical and Human Geography of America’s Arid-Humid Divide, Part II: The Meridian Moves East, discusses the climate model-expected drying of the western U.S. and how this will affect the agricultural central- and east- U.S. as the climatological […]

 Posted by at 23:07
Jan 132016

“In the realm of ideas there has been no better publication in Australia over the last fifty years than Quadrant magazine.”
— Former Prime Minister John Howard

Quadrant Online » Opinion The leading general intellectual journal of ideas, literature, poetry and historical and political debate published in Australia.

  • A Low-Energy Minister Bent on Suicide
    by Roger Franklin on 2018-07-19 at 02:24

    Advance publicity asserted Josh Frydenberg, minister for obscenely expensive power and keeping it that way, would be a force  in Canberra, it being alleged by admirers that he is smart and very much his own man. Alas, as a round of correspondence established, it's just not trueThe post A Low-Energy Minister Bent on Suicide appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • Rationalising Muslim Domestic Violence
    by Roger Franklin on 2018-07-19 at 00:31

    According to academic Samina Yasmeen, Islamic women endure greater rates of assault at the hands of their husbands because ... yes, you guessed it ... 'Islamophobia' drives them to such fits of impotent rage that many simply can't resist lashing out at the easiest targetsThe post Rationalising Muslim Domestic Violence appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • Energy: Addicted to Waffle and Disaster
    by Roger Franklin on 2018-07-17 at 22:33

    Like dogs with a taste for worrying sheep, politicians' destructive meddling with our energy regime appears to be a compulsion. As Australia's debacle grows ever more ruinously absurd and an election approaches, has it not occurred to them that betraying the flock invites summary justice?The post Energy: Addicted to Waffle and Disaster appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • Votes by the Boatload
    by Roger Franklin on 2018-07-17 at 03:36

    The news that Australia will be spending $7 billion on a fleet of far-ranging surveillance drones set Zeg to thinking about unintended consequences, most particularly at the ballot box. All those potential Labor voters being made to observe Australian immigration law? How racist is that!The post Votes by the Boatload appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • Just Another Day at Their ABC
    by Roger Franklin on 2018-07-16 at 23:01

    There are stories -- and then there are ABC's versions of events as presented on its News website. In just one single day, July 16, this is the spin and perspective the national broadcaster inflicted on reports from Bangla Desh to Canberra, with stops at the Helpmann Awards and Gaza along the wayThe post Just Another Day at Their ABC appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

 Posted by at 06:56
Jan 052016

Independent Institute Articles Recent Articles and op-eds from the Independent Institute

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Jan 052016
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Jan 052016
  • Changes in the Rate of Sea Level Rise; Gavin vs Eschenbach

    Gavin Schmidt says that sea level rise has accelerated since 1860, but Willis Eschenbach says "Yes, a quadratic provides a better fit than no acceleration, but NOT significantly better. Which means you can't claim acceleration. Eschenbach analyzed the statistical significance the the variance between the quadratic and linear fits of the Church and White 2011 data. Church and White are experts is creating reconstructions of global sea levels from tide gauges. Eschenbach shows that there were large changes in the 31-year trends over the 20th century, ranging from a low of 0.80 mm/y ending 1931 to a high of 2.10 mm/yr in 1961. He concludes "The 95% CI for each of the residuals encompasses the variance of the other residual … and this means that there is no statistical difference between the two. It may just be a random fluctuation, or it might be a real phenomenon. We cannot say at this point." […]

  • Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Induced Climate Change

    Friends of Science advisor Madhav L. Khandekar wrote a report describing the uncertainties in greenhouse gas induced climate change and problems with climate models, dated March 2000. Since then the discrepancies between the climate model's hindcasts and the climate measurements have only grown larger. The mean surface temperature increase during 1978 to 1997 was 0.32°C, however, the impact of urbanization and land-use changes may have contributed about 0.1°C to that increase. The temperature trend in the lower atmosphere 1979-1998 was about 0.10°C/decade which is much less that the 0.16°C/decade at the surface, contrary to theory. The cause of the temperature change is a combination of natural variability including solar effect and anthropogenic sources. There are large uncertainties in radiative forcings by aerosols, which may offset a significant part of the greenhouse gas forcing, and in cloud and sea ice cover. […]

  • The Impact of Recent Forcing and Ocean Heat Uptake Data on Estimates of Climate Sensitivity

    Climatologists Nicholas Lewis and Judith Curry published an important paper in the Journal of Climate that estimates the climate sensitivity to CO2 using the energy balance method. Using the temperature history (HadCRUT4.5), ocean heat data and the most recent climate forcing information, the authors estimate the equilibrium climate sensitivity is 1.50 deg C, which is only 47% of the climate model average value. The likely uncertainty range is half of that estimated by the IPCC. The paper also refutes criticism of the energy balance method. While the paper does not address possible natural temperature recovery from the Little Ice Age, it concludes that the high values of climate sensitivity from climate models are inconsistent with the observed warming. […]

  • Tracing Winter Temperatures Over the Last Two Millennia

    This paper presents a winter temperature reconstruction using fjord sediments from Sweden. The temperature was determined by using a temperature sensitive isotope in small, shallow water animals. The temperatures range from 2.7 to 7.8°C. The record shows high temperatures during the Roman Warm Period, variable during the Dark Ages, high temperatures during Medieval Warm Period, cooling with multi-decadal variability during the Little Ice Age, and warming during the 20th century. The late 20th century warming “does not stand out in the 2500-year perspective and is of the same magnitude as the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Climate Anomaly.&rdquo […]

  • Correcting Flaws in Global Warming Projections

    Ron Clutz wrote a summary of a paper published posthumously of Dr. Bill Gray’s understanding of global warming/climate change. The global climate models (GCM) all project than an increase in CO2 warming leads to an increase in atmospheric water vapour. This results in the water vapour, which is a strong greenhouse gas, to cause further warming. In contrast to this positive feedback built into GCMs, Dr. Gray believes that there is a negative feedback, meaning that the temperature rise would be less than the direct effect of the theoretical CO2 warming. The paper says “CO2 warming ultimately results in less water vapour (not more) in the upper troposphere. The GCMs therefore predict unrealistic warming of global temperature. He hypothesize that the Earth’s energy balance is regulated by precipitation (primarily via deep cumulonimbus convection) and that this precipitation counteracts warming due to CO2.&rdquo […]

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