Jan 212016
  • Federal Government’s 2017 Fiscal Shortfall Is 74% Worse Than Reported Budget Deficit
    by justfacts on 2018-03-07 at 16:17

    By James D. Agresti March 7, 2018 The federal government reported a budget deficit of $666 billion for its 2017 fiscal year, but a new comprehensive accounting published by the U.S. Treasury shows that federal finances deteriorated by $1,157 billion … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • Media Misinformation About Arming Teachers
    by justfacts on 2018-02-27 at 12:56

    By James D. Agresti February 27, 2018 Misinformation can be deadly, especially when it comes to issues like school shootings. This is because it can build support for policies that increase fatalities and generate opposition to reforms that can save … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • How Often Do Citizens Use Guns to Stop Violence?
    by justfacts on 2018-02-23 at 15:54

    By James D. Agresti February 23, 2018 In a New York Times column entitled “How to Reduce Shootings,” Nicholas Kristof writes, “It is true that guns are occasionally used to stop violence. But contrary to what the National Rifle Association … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • Government Spending on Higher Education Reaches an All-Time High
    by justfacts on 2018-02-13 at 01:23

    By Stuart Shepard and James D. Agresti February 12, 2018 It’s a common theme in the news media: Education needs more money. Always. In keeping with that storyline, a recent Washington Post article about higher education reports: To the alarm … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • Government-Mandated Benefits Suppress Workers’ Wages
    by justfacts on 2018-02-05 at 14:13

    By James D. Agresti February 5, 2018 Shortly before he was sworn in as the governor of New Jersey, Democrat Phil Murphy, a former Goldman Sachs executive, said: This state, under the current leadership, has gotten into the belief that … Continue reading &rarr […]

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Jan 132016

Dr. Spencer is an internationally recognized climatologist who explains things like why we do not know whether man is causing any climate change or not.

Or, is the planet really warming all over?

Roy Spencer, PhD. Climate Change Research Scientist, Author, Former NASA Scientist

  • Chinese satellite filled with corrosive fuel will probably hit… the ocean
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-03-11 at 23:20

    Oh, boy. If only reporters checked with anyone who knows orbital mechanics before writing stories like this: Chinese satellite filled with corrosive fuel could hit lower Michigan The orbital decay of the Chinese space station Tiangong-1 will lead to its uncontrolled reentry around April. The green and yellow areas on the following map show where […]

  • UAH Global Temperature Update for February, 2018: +0.20 deg. C
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-03-01 at 14:24

    The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for February, 2018 was +0.20 deg. C, down a little from the January value of +0.26 deg. C: The global, hemispheric, and tropical LT anomalies from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 14 months are: YEAR MO GLOBE NHEM. SHEM. TROPICS 2017 01 +0.33 […]

  • Warming to 2100: A Lukewarmer Scenario
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-02-28 at 16:28

    My previous post dealt with a 1D model of ocean temperature changes to 2,000m depth, optimized to match various observed quantities: deep-ocean heat storage, surface temperature warming, the observed lagged-variations between CERES satellite radiative flux and surface temperature, and warming/cooling associated with El Nino/La Nina. While that model was meant to match global average (land+ocean) […]

  • A 1D Model of Global Temperature Changes, 1880-2017: Low Climate Sensitivity (and More)
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-02-22 at 17:44

    UPDATE(2/23/18): The previous version of this post had improper latitude bounds for the HadCRUT4 Tsfc data. I’ve rerun the results… the conclusions remain the same. I have also added proof that ENSO is accompanied by its own radiative forcing, a controversial claim, which allows it to cause multi-decadal climate change. In simple terms, this is […]

  • Diagnosing Climate Sensitivity Assuming Some Natural Warming
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-02-16 at 17:51

    Climate sensitivity has been diagnosed based upon energy budget considerations by several authors in recent years using observational data combined with estimates of anthropogenic radiative forcing (e.g. Otto et al., 2013; Lewis & Curry, 2014). Significantly, they generally calculate a lower equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) than the average of the IPCC AR5 climate models. Whereas […]

  • UAH Global Temperature Update for January, 2018: +0.26 deg. C
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-02-01 at 13:50

    Coolest tropics since June, 2012 at -0.12 deg. C. The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for January, 2018 was +0.26 deg. C, down from the December, 2017 value of +0.41 deg. C: The global, hemispheric, and tropical LT anomalies from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 13 months are: YEAR […]

  • U.S. Corn Yield a New Record – Again
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-01-29 at 17:11

    Global warming be damned — full speed ahead on the Maize Train. The numbers are in from USDA, and 2017 saw a new record in average corn yield, with 176.6 bushels per acre. In fact, the last four growing seasons (2014, 2015, 2016, 2017) had higher yields than any previous years. The last time that […]

  • Sydney Heat and “Bomb” Snowstorm: Pimped Out for Climate Change
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-01-07 at 14:22

    It’s been an eventful weather week in some portions of the globe. In fact, it is always an eventful weather week – somewhere. But what really drives the narrative is when weather extremes — which always have, and always will, occur — happen to hit major metropolitan areas. Many people are already aware of the […]

  • Da Bomb
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-01-04 at 14:49

    The rapidly intensifying non-tropical cyclone producing heavy snow and blizzard conditions over the mid-Atlantic and New England is meeting expectations, with localized snowfalls of over 6 inches already this morning. The latest NAM model forecast of additional snowfall after 7 a.m. this morning until tomorrow morning shows up to 12-18 inches of snow over portions […]

  • UAH Global Temperature Update for December, 2017: +0.41 deg. C
    by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2018-01-02 at 13:54

    2017 Third Warmest in the 39-Year Satellite Record Global Satellite Monitoring of Temperature Enters its 40th Year The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for December, 2017 was +0.41 deg. C, up a little from the November, 2017 value of +0.36 deg. C: The global, hemispheric, and tropical LT anomalies from the […]

 Posted by at 23:07
Jan 132016

“In the realm of ideas there has been no better publication in Australia over the last fifty years than Quadrant magazine.”
— Former Prime Minister John Howard

Quadrant Online » Opinion The leading general intellectual journal of ideas, literature, poetry and historical and political debate published in Australia.

  • An Over-egged Easter Island Fable
    by Roger Franklin on 2018-03-19 at 06:28

    There is a perverse reassurance in knowing Australia's media class is not alone in casting every unpleasant or unexpected natural event as yet further 'proof' of Gaia's revenge on our carbon-spewing species. When it comes to global warming, the New York Times is just as silly as Fairfax and the ABCThe post An Over-egged Easter Island Fable appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • Allah is an Englishman
    by Roger Franklin on 2018-03-19 at 02:16

    Holding a critical opinion of Islam is now grounds to be locked up by British officials, particularly if you intend to speak about terrorism, homophobia, misogyny and other unfortunate elements of multicultural enrichment. Indeed, being 'right wing' is enough to see the door slammedThe post Allah is an Englishman appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • The Ongoing Language Wars
    by Roger Franklin on 2018-03-18 at 11:24

    The state's power to dictate the way we use language has become one of the authoritarian Left's most formidable tools, as Jordan Peterson has rightly emphasised. Yet most liberal politicians remain oblivious to this insidious abuse of terminology, as Quadrant has warned since 2004The post The Ongoing Language Wars appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • My Bedside Joy: A Gentleman in Moscow
    by Roger Franklin on 2018-03-18 at 02:06

    Amor Towles' novel is a wonder, an addiction, a philosophical ramble and, most of all, a fable that addresses the universal desire for a moral compass, which it offers as one founded on proper upbringing, on civility, on honesty and on due respect for what has gone beforeThe post My Bedside Joy: A Gentleman in Moscow appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • The Arts in Gellibrand: Part II
    by Roger Franklin on 2018-03-16 at 04:32

    In addition to supporting a woman who built her reputation within the arts community by defecating in rainbow hues, The Australia Council recently distributed a lot more cash to her creative neighbours. Here is a sampling of recipients from just one tranche of grants to just one electorateThe post The Arts in Gellibrand: Part II appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

 Posted by at 06:56
Jan 052016

Independent Institute Articles Recent Articles and op-eds from the Independent Institute

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Jan 052016
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Jan 052016
  • Fos Extracts - 2018 Table of Contents

    2018-02-23   Tim Ball’s Free-Speech Victory over Andrew WeaverPolar Bear Battle in Toronto: Good Science vs Climate Do-goodersChevron and Exxon Fight Back against Climate SuitsNYU Law Professor: “Cross-examination is going to be brutal”Electricity Prices Fell for 40 Years in Australia, then Renewables CameGeorge Soros Makes $160 Million Investments in Oil, Gas & Coal CompaniesEnvironmentalists Push Global Wealth Distribution“Sinking” Pacific Nation Is Getting BiggerWarnings of an Unusually […]

  • FoS Extracts - 2018

    By: Ian Cameron                 TABLE OF CONTENTS   2018-02-23   Tim Ball’s Free-Speech Victory over Andrew Weaver In 2011, Andrew Weaver, then a climate modeller at the University of Victoria and now leader of the Green Party in the British Columbia legislature, sued Dr. Ball over an article published in the Canada Free Press. Among other things […]

  • Modulation of Ice Ages via Precession and Dust-Albedo Feedbacks

    The slow wobble, or precession, of the axis of the Earth causes the "Great Year" because it gives warm and cool seasons over its approximate 23,000-year cycle. The advancing ice sheets during a "Great Winter" increases the Earth's albedo, reflecting sunlight and resisting the warming effect of the next "Great Summer". As the ice sheets grow and the seas cool, CO2 also reduces as it is absorbed by the oceans. Most plants suffer severe stress at 190 ppm CO2 and die at 150 ppm, because CO2 is a primary plant-food. The concentration finally reaches the critical 190 ppm level where world flora begins to die and the Gobi steppe-lands turn into a true sand desert. The ensuing dust storms dump thousands of tonnes of dust onto the northern ice sheets each year. The interglacial periods occur only every fourth or fifth Great Year. Ice core data shows that every interglacial warming period is preceded by about 10,000 years of intense dust storms. When the next Great Summer comes along, the dusty polar ice sheets can warm and melt and the next interglacial is born. Low concentrations of CO2 near the end of an ice age causes a die-off of plants leading to dust storms, reducing the ice sheet albedo, resulting in warming and the interglacial periods. […]

  • How America Can Dominate the World Energy Market

    Tom Harris, executive director of the International Climate Science Coalition, writes about America First Energy Conference on Nov. 9, organized by the Heartland Institute, contrasting its message to that from the recent UN climate conference in Bonn. Craig Idso told the audience that the whole biosphere is reaping incredible benefits from increasing CO2. Energy dominance is achievable if current development plans continue. One speaker said America could become a net exporter of oil within five years. America has the world’s largest coal reserves, but exports are hampered due to lack of export terminals. […]

  • Climate Sensitivity from the Bulk Troposphere

    A new study by John Christy and Richard McNider used the warming of the bulk troposphere from satellite data to calculate an upper limit on transient climate sensitivity. The study removed ocean effect like El Nino and effect to two major volcanoes to determine a temperature trend attributable to only greenhouse gasses and natural forcing. If natural forcing contributed nothing, which is extremely unlikely, the temperature trend is 0.069 °C, giving a climate response of 1.1 °C, which is about one-half of the value estimate by climate models. A link to the paper is at the end of the article. […]

 Posted by at 10:16