Jul 312016
 

Brave New World was published in 1932, depression times …
Do you see any familiar themes in this brief explanation of the plot?
You may download the FREE ebook in any of 3 formats for your own personal reading and comparing to our society today. Any similarities? Or not? Huxley’s world is set in the 2540’s…

Locations to Download

“Brave New World” by Aldous Huxley 

The Plot

 

Huxley is a thinker with complex imagination and a writer bold enough to use it without any restrictions. “Brave New World” is a good example for this. It reveals a future where people are made believe that they are flourishing in the utopia of The World State. This mega-country spreads across the whole globe, leaving only small bits of territory – “savage reservations”, for those who refuse to submit to the new world order. This “Brave New World” emerged under the dictatorship of the 10 World Controllers. The social order that has been established predefines the lives of every single citizen before they were even born. People are actually not even born anymore, they are bred in laboratories and genetically prepared for one of the five castes of which society consists. The embryos destined for the more inferior classes get intellectually stunned to ensure they acceptance of faith. In this world children are educated and taught who they are through sleeping-hypnosis. Parenting, emotional bounds and fear of death are eradicated from people’s minds with hallucinogen drugs and by restraining them from intellectual activities.

 

The main character of the book Bernard Marx is from the highest caste “Alpha”. Unfortunately for him a laboratory error slowed down the physical development of his embryo, leaving him shorter than the average Alphas. This caused him an inferiority-complex making him more distant and alienated from the others. On top of that his director is planing on exiling him, which he is desperate to prevent.

 

On a holiday with the breeding nurse Lenina Crowne, he finds out that his director has in fact an illegal child called John. He was naturally born and raised in the “savage” lands. Bernard decides to bring him back to The World State and to expose the dirty secret of his boss. He doesn’t expect however, that John who grew up with Shakespeare’s idea of the world, won’t be able to handle the cold and artificial world mankind has created….

Or a shorter plot from http://www.globalgreyebooks.com/Pages/aldous-huxley.html

Brave New World
by Aldous Huxley

Brave New World is set in London of AD 2540 (632 A.F.—”After Ford”—in the book). The novel anticipates developments in reproductive technology, sleep-learning, psychological manipulation, and classical conditioning that combine profoundly to change society. Far in the future, the World Controllers have created the ideal society. Through clever use of genetic engineering, brainwashing and recreational sex and drugs all its members are happy consumers. Bernard Marx seems alone harbouring an ill-defined longing to break free. A visit to one of the few remaining Savage Reservations where the old, imperfect life still continues, may be the cure for his distress.

Editor: Do you notice any similarities or differences with our world in the 2000’s?

 

 Posted by at 08:53
Jul 302016
 

Uncommon Descent Serving The Intelligent Design Community

  • NASA Study of Stratospheric Water Content 2001
    Posted by PaV on 2016-09-27 at 20:58

    Copyright © 2016 Uncommon Descent. This Feed is for personal non-commercial use only. If you are not reading this material in your news aggregator, the site you are looking at is guilty of copyright infringement UNLESS EXPLICIT PERMISSION OTHERWISE HAS BEEN GIVEN. Please contact legal@uncommondescent.com so we can take legal action immediately.Plugin by Taragana […]

  • Lee Spetner answers his critics
    Posted by News on 2016-09-27 at 13:30

    Lee Spetner, author of The Evolution Revolution, responds to a Darwin-in-the-schools lobbyist at Evolution News & Views : In his review, David Levin seems to have set out to perform a hatchet job, and this required dispensing with truth. Before going into that, however, I must describe briefly the major point of my book, which […]

  • Another smart crow, from Hawaii, distantly related to New Zealand smart crows
    Posted by News on 2016-09-27 at 11:22

    From ScienceDaily: An international team of scientists and conservation experts has discovered that the critically-endangered Hawaiian crow, or ‘Alalā, is a highly proficient tool user, according to a paper published today in the scientific journal Nature. … The discovery of a second tool-using crow species finally provides leverage for addressing long-standing questions about the evolution […]

  • Epigenetics: Smoking causes long-term gene damage
    Posted by News on 2016-09-27 at 09:48

    From ScienceDaily: Smoking leaves its “footprint” on the human genome in the form of DNA methylation, a process by which cells control gene activity, according to new research in Circulation: Cardiovascular Genetics, an American Heart Association journal. … “These results are important because methylation, as one of the mechanisms of the regulation of gene expression, […]

 Posted by at 23:23
Jul 302016
 

We at allipedia believe in balance and looking at both sides of issues. Universities used to believe that too. However over the past number of decades, gradually people who dispute the idea that evolution is totally true are sidelined, maligned, fired, or criticized for their beliefs rather than for the evidence they present as to WHY they do not believe in evolution 100%.

Since schools generally present evolutionary theory as fact in spite of the questions that evolutionists can not answer, we present the balance or the other side of the issue for those who actually want to hear both sides.

If you are one of those then you may want to check these references. We do not necessarily agree with every point made but either does my wife agree with every point I make or I , hers. 🙂

Evolution vs God movie

Why can experts including biology majors, who believe in evolution not give one example of it happening???

 

 Posted by at 16:21
May 022016
 

(Note: Evolution has become a religion say some scientists….so we include here opposing information to what may be taught about evolution in schools.)


Question: “What are some flaws in the theory of evolution?”

Answer: Christians and non-Christians alike often question whether the theory of evolution is accurate. Those who express doubts about the theory are often labeled “unscientific” or “backwards” by some in the pro-evolution camp. At times, the popular perception of evolution seems to be that it has been proven beyond all doubt and there are no scientific obstacles left for it. In reality, there are quite a few scientific flaws in the theory that provide reasons to be skeptical. Granted, none of these questions necessarily disproves evolution, but they do show how the theory is less than settled.

There are many ways in which evolution can be criticized scientifically, but most of those criticisms are highly specific. There are countless examples of genetic characteristics, ecological systems, evolutionary trees, enzyme properties, and other facts that are very difficult to square with the theory of evolution. Detailed descriptions of these can be highly technical and are beyond the scope of a summary such as this.

 

Generally speaking, it’s accurate to say that science has yet to provide consistent answers to how evolution operates at the molecular, genetic, or even ecological levels in a consistent and supportable way.

Other flaws in the theory of evolution can be separated into three basic areas.

  • First, there is the contradiction between “punctuated equilibrium” and “gradualism.”
  • Second is the problem in projecting “microevolution” into “macroevolution.”
  • Third is the unfortunate way in which the theory has been unscientifically abused for philosophical reasons.

First, there is a contradiction between “punctuated equilibrium” and “gradualism.” There are two basic possibilities for how naturalistic evolution can occur. This flaw in the theory of evolution occurs because these two ideas are mutually exclusive, and yet there is evidence suggestive of both of them.

Gradualism implies that organisms experience a relatively steady rate of mutations, resulting in a somewhat “smooth” transition from early forms to later ones. This was the original assumption derived from the theory of evolution.

 

Punctuated equilibrium, on the other hand, implies that mutation rates are heavily influenced by a unique set of coincidences. Therefore, organisms will experience long periods of stability, “punctuated” by short bursts of rapid evolution.

Gradualism seems to be contradicted by the fossil record. Organisms appear suddenly and demonstrate little change over long periods. The fossil record has been greatly expanded over the last century, and the more fossils that are found, the more gradualism seems to be disproved. It was this overt refutation of gradualism in the fossil record that prompted the theory of punctuated equilibrium.

The fossil record might seem to support punctuated equilibrium, but again, there are major problems. The basic assumption of punctuated equilibrium is that a very few creatures, all from the same large population, will experience several beneficial mutations, all at the same time. Right away, one can see how improbable this is. Then, those few members separate completely from the main population so that their new genes can be passed to the next generation (another unlikely event). Given the wide diversity of life, this kind of amazing coincidence would have to happen all the time.

While the improbable nature of punctuated equilibrium speaks for itself, scientific studies have also cast doubt on the benefits it would confer. Separating a few members from a larger population results in inbreeding. This results in decreased reproductive ability, harmful genetic abnormalities, and so forth. In essence, the events that should be promoting “survival of the fittest” cripple the organisms instead.

Despite what some claim, punctuated equilibrium is not a more refined version of gradualism. They have very different assumptions about the mechanisms behind evolution and the way those mechanisms behave. Neither is a satisfactory explanation for how life came to be as diverse and balanced as it is, and yet there are no other reasonable options for how evolution can operate.

The second flaw is the problem of extending “microevolution” into “macroevolution.” Laboratory studies have shown that organisms are capable of adaptation. That is, living things have an ability to shift their biology to better fit their environment. However, those same studies have demonstrated that such changes can only go so far, and those organisms have not fundamentally changed. These small changes are called “microevolution.” Microevolution can result in some drastic changes, such as those found in dogs. All dogs are the same species, and one can see how much variation there is. But even the most aggressive breeding has never turned a dog into something else. There is a limit to how large, small, smart, or hairy a dog can become through breeding. Experimentally, there is no reason to suggest that a species can change beyond its own genetic limits and become something else.

Long-term evolution, though, requires “macroevolution,” which refers to those large-scale changes. Microevolution turns a wolf into a Chihuahua or a Great Dane. Macroevolution would turn a fish into a cow or a duck. There is a massive difference in scale and effect between microevolution and macroevolution. This flaw in the theory of evolution is that experimentation does not support the ability of many small changes to transform one species into another.

Finally, there is the flawed application of evolution. This is not a flaw in the scientific theory, of course, but an error in the way the theory has been abused for non-scientific purposes. There are still many, many questions about biological life that evolution has not answered. And yet, there are those who try to transform the theory from a biological explanation into a metaphysical one.

 

Every time a person claims that the theory of evolution disproves religion, spirituality, or God, they are taking the theory outside of its own limits.

 

Fairly or not, the theory of evolution has been hijacked as an anti-religious mascot by those with an axe to grind against God.

Overall, there are many solidly scientific reasons to question the theory of evolution.

 

These flaws may be resolved by science, or they may eventually kill the theory all together.

 

We don’t know which one will happen, but we do know this: the theory of evolution is far from settled, and rational people can question it scientifically.

 

Recommended Resources: Battle for the Beginning: Creation, Evolution, and the Bible by John MacArthur andLogos Bible Software.

 Posted by at 01:06
May 022016
 
What Are the Top Three Flaws in Darwinian Evolution, as Taught Today in Public Schools?

Casey Luskin May 17, 2012 3:11 PM | Permalink

We often receive e-mails from students seeking information on evolution. Recently a university student posed this question: “What are the top three flaws in evolutionary theory being taught in public schools today?” My response was as follows:

Unfortunately most public schools do NOT teach about the flaws in evolutionary theory. Instead, they censor this information, hiding from students all of the science that challenges Darwinian evolution. But in a perfect world, if the evidence against Darwinian theory were taught, these would be my top three choices:

    • (2) Tell students that many scientists have challenged the ability of random mutation and natural selection to produce complex biological features.
    • (3) Tell students that many lines of evidence for Darwinian evolution and common descent are weak:
          a. Vertebrate embryos start out

developing very differently

        , in contrast with the drawings of embryos often found in textbooks which mostly appear similar.

b. DNA evidence paints conflicting pictures of the “tree of life”. There is no such single “tree.”

c. Evidence of small-scale changes, such as the modest changes in the size of finch-beaks or slight changes in thecolor frequencies in the wings of “peppered moths”, shows microevolution, NOT macroevolution.

Of course, in a perfect world, I’d also prefer that more than merely “three flaws in evolutionary theory” be taught to students.

I also referred the student to a resource that we regularly send out to college students, The College Student’s Back-to-School Guide to Intelligent Design, which contains lots of helpful answers to common objections to ID.

 Posted by at 00:47
Feb 062016
 

Marijuana

Photo of a marijuana leaf.

What is marijuana

Marijuana refers to the dried leaves, flowers, stems, and seeds from the hemp plant, Cannabis sativa. The plant contains the mind-altering chemical delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) and other related compounds. Extracts with high amounts of THC can also be made from the cannabis plant (see “Marijuana Extracts“).

Marijuana is the most commonly used illicit drug in the United States (SAMHSA, 2014). Its use is widespread among young people. According to a yearly survey of middle and high school students, rates of marijuana use have steadied in the past few years after several years of increase. However, the number of young people who believe marijuana use is risky is decreasing (Johnston, 2014).

Legalization of marijuana for medical use or adult recreational use in a growing number of states may affect these views. Read more about marijuana as medicine in DrugFacts: Is Marijuana Medicine? atwww.drugabuse.gov/publications/drugfacts/marijuana-medicine.

Photo of dried marijuana and joints.

How do people use marijuana?

People smoke marijuana in hand-rolled cigarettes (joints) or in pipes or water pipes (bongs). They also smoke it in blunts—emptied cigars that have been partly or completely refilled with marijuana. To avoid inhaling smoke, more people are using vaporizers. These devices pull the active ingredients (including THC) from the marijuana and collect their vapor in a storage unit. A person then inhales the vapor, not the smoke.

Users can mix marijuana in food (edibles), such as brownies, cookies, or candy, or brew it as a tea. A newly popular method of use is smoking or eating different forms of THC-rich resins (see “Marijuana Extracts“).

Marijuana Extracts

Smoking THC-rich resins extracted from the marijuana plant is on the rise. Users call this practice dabbing. People are using various forms of these extracts, such as:

  • hash oil or honey oil—a gooey liquid
  • wax or budder—a soft solid with a texture like lip balm
  • shatter—a hard, amber-colored solid

These extracts can deliver extremely large amounts of THC to users, and their use has sent some people to the emergency room. Another danger is in preparing these extracts, which usually involves butane (lighter fluid). A number of people who have used butane to make extracts at home have caused fires and explosions and have been seriously burned.

How does marijuana affect the brain?

Marijuana has both short- and long-term effects on the brain.

Image of a cross section of the brain with marked areas that are affected by THC.THC acts on numerous areas (in yellow) in the brain.

Short-term effects

When a person smokes marijuana, THC quickly passes from the lungs into the bloodstream. The blood carries the chemical to the brain and other organs throughout the body. The body absorbs THC more slowly when the person eats or drinks it. In that case, the user generally feels the effects after 30 minutes to 1 hour.

THC acts on specific brain cell receptors that ordinarily react to natural THC-like chemicals in the brain. These natural chemicals play a role in normal brain development and function.

Marijuana overactivates parts of the brain that contain the highest number of these receptors. This causes the “high” that users feel. Other effects include:

  • altered senses (for example, seeing brighter colors)
  • altered sense of time
  • changes in mood
  • impaired body movement
  • difficulty with thinking and problem-solving
  • impaired memory
Silhouette of a seated young male, hunched over with his head resting in his hand.

Long-term effects

Marijuana also affects brain development. When marijuana users begin using as teenagers, the drug may reduce thinking, memory, and learning functions and affect how the brain builds connections between the areas necessary for these functions.

Marijuana’s effects on these abilities may last a long time or even be permanent.

For example, a study showed that people who started smoking marijuana heavily in their teens and had an ongoing cannabis use disorder lost an average of eight IQ points between ages 13 and 38. The lost mental abilities did not fully return in those who quit marijuana as adults. Those who started smoking marijuana as adults did not show notable IQ declines (Meier, 2012).

A Rise in Marijuana’s THC Levels

The amount of THC in marijuana has been increasing steadily over the past few decades (Mehmedic, 2010). For a new user, this may mean exposure to higher THC levels with a greater chance of a harmful reaction. Higher THC levels may explain the rise in emergency room visits involving marijuana use.

The popularity of edibles also increases the chance of users having harmful reactions. Edibles take longer to digest and produce a high. Therefore, people may consume more to feel the effects faster, leading to dangerous results.

Dabbing is yet another growing trend. More people are using marijuana extracts that provide stronger doses, and therefore stronger effects, of THC (see “Marijuana Extracts“).

Higher THC levels may mean a greater risk for addiction if users are regularly exposing themselves to high doses.

What are the other health effects of marijuana?

Marijuana use may have a wide range of effects, both physical and mental.

Physical effects

  • Breathing problems. Marijuana smoke irritates the lungs, and frequent marijuana smokers can have the same breathing problems that tobacco smokers have. These problems include daily cough and phlegm, more frequent lung illness, and a higher risk of lung infections. Researchers still do not know whether marijuana smokers have a higher risk for lung cancer.
  • Increased heart rate. Marijuana raises heart rate for up to 3 hours after smoking. This effect may increase the chance of heart attack. Older people and those with heart problems may be at higher risk
  • Problems with child development during and after pregnancy.Marijuana use during pregnancy is linked to increased risk of both brain and behavioral problems in babies. If a pregnant woman uses marijuana, the drug may affect certain developing parts of the fetus’s brain. Resulting challenges for the child may include problems with attention, memory, and problem-solving. Additionally, some research suggests that moderate amounts of THC are excreted into the breast milk of nursing mothers. The effects on a baby’s developing brain are still unknown.

Mental effects

Long-term marijuana use has been linked to mental illness in some users, such as:

  • temporary hallucinations—sensations and images that seem real though they are not
  • temporary paranoia—extreme and unreasonable distrust of others
  • worsening symptoms in patients with schizophrenia (a severe mental disorder with symptoms such as hallucinations, paranoia, and disorganized thinking)

Marijuana use has also been linked to other mental health problems, such as:

  • depression
  • anxiety
  • suicidal thoughts among teens

Is marijuana addictive?

Contrary to common belief, marijuana can be addictive. Research suggests that about 1 in 11 users becomes addicted to marijuana (Anthony, 1994; Lopez-Quintero 2011).This number increases among those who start as teens (to about 17 percent, or 1 in 6) (Anthony, 2006) and among people who use marijuana daily (to 25-50 percent) (Hall & Pacula, 2003).

How Does Marijuana Affect a User’s Life?

Compared to nonusers, heavy marijuana users more often report the following:

  • lower life satisfaction
  • poorer mental health
  • poorer physical health
  • more relationship problems

Users also report less academic and career success. For example, marijuana use is linked to a higher likelihood of dropping out of school (McCaffrey, 2010). It is also linked to more job absences, accidents, and injuries (Zwerling, 1990).

How can people get treatment for marijuana addiction?

Long-term marijuana users trying to quit report withdrawal symptoms that make quitting difficult. These include:

  • grouchiness
  • sleeplessness
  • decreased appetite
  • anxiety
  • cravings

Behavioral support has been effective in treating marijuana addiction. Examples include therapy and motivational incentives (providing rewards to patients who remain substance free). No medications are currently available to treat marijuana addiction. However, continuing research may lead to new medications that help ease withdrawal symptoms, block the effects of marijuana, and prevent relapse.

Points to Remember

  • Marijuana refers to the dried leaves, flowers, stems, and seeds from the hemp plant, Cannabis sativa.
  • The plant contains the mind-altering chemical delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol(THC) and other related compounds.
  • People use marijuana by smoking, eating, drinking, and inhaling it.
  • Smoking THC-rich extracts from the marijuana plant (a practice calleddabbing) is on the rise.
  • THC overactivates certain brain cell receptors, resulting in effects such as:
    • altered senses
    • changes in mood
    • impaired body movement
    • difficulty with thinking and problem-solving
    • impaired memory and learning
  • Marijuana use may have a wide range of effects, both physical and mental, which include:
    • breathing illnesses
    • possible harm to a fetus’s brain in pregnant users
    • hallucinations and paranoia
  • The amount of THC in marijuana has been increasing steadily, creating more harmful effects for users.
  • Marijuana can be addictive.
  • Treatment for marijuana addiction includes forms of behavioral therapy. No medications currently exist for treatment.

Learn More

For more information on marijuana and marijuana use, visit:

For more information on marijuana as medicine and on state laws related to marijuana, visit:

Monitoring the Future

Learn more about the Monitoring the Future survey, which annually measures drug, alcohol, and tobacco use and related attitudes among teenage students nationwide:
www.drugabuse.gov/related-topics/trends-statistics/monitoring-future

References

Anthony JC. The epidemiology of cannabis dependence. In: Roffman RA, Stephens RS, eds. Cannabis Dependence: Its Nature, Consequences and Treatment.Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; 2006:58-105.

Anthony J, Warner LA, Kessler RC. Comparative epidemiology of dependence on tobacco, alcohol, controlled substances, and inhalants: basic findings from the National Comorbidity Survey. Exp Clin Psychopharmacol. 1994;2:244-268.

Hall WD, Pacula RL. Cannabis Use and Dependence: Public Health and Public Policy. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; 2003.

Johnston LD, O’Malley PM, Miech RA, Bachman JG, Schulenberg JE. Monitoring the Future national results on drug use: 1975-2014: Overview, Key Findings on Adolescent Drug Use. Ann Arbor, MI: Institute for Social Research, The University of Michigan; 2014.

Lopez-Quintero C, Pérez de los Cobos J, Hasin DS, et al. Probability and predictors of transition from first use to dependence on nicotine, alcohol, cannabis, and cocaine: results of the National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions (NESARC). Drug Alcohol Depend. 2011;115(1-2):120-130.

McCaffrey DF, Pacula RL, Han B, Ellickson P. Marijuana use and high school dropout: the influence of unobservables. Health Econ. 2010;19(11):1281-1299.

Mehmedic Z, Chandra S, Slade D, et al. Potency trends of Δ9-THC and other cannabinoids in confiscated cannabis preparations from 1993 to 2008. J Forensic Sci. 2010;55(5):1209-1217.

Meier MH, Caspi A, Ambler A, et al. Persistent cannabis users show neuropsychological decline from childhood to midlife. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2012;109:E2657-2664.

Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA). Results from the 2013 National Survey on Drug Use and Health: Summary of National Findings. Rockville, MD: Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration; 2014. HHS Publication No. (SMA) 14-4887. NSDUH Series H-49.

Zwerling C, Ryan J, Orav E. The efficacy of preemployment drug screening for marijuana and cocaine in predicting employment outcome. JAMA. 1990;264(20):2639-2643.

This publication is available for your use and may be reproduced in its entiretywithout permission from NIDA. Citation of the source is appreciated, using the following language: Source: National Institute on Drug Abuse; National Institutes of Health; U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.
 
 Posted by at 21:41  Tagged with:
Jan 212016
 
  • Smearing the South With False Charges of Racism
    Posted by justfacts on 2016-09-20 at 11:36

    By James D. Agresti September 20, 2016 Blunt accusations of racism have become a common feature of public discourse over the past few years. With this, the views of both whites and blacks about the state of race relations in … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • Donald Trump and the Media Agree on Middle-Class Income, and They are Both Wrong
    Posted by justfacts on 2016-07-27 at 17:08

    By James D. Agresti and Rebecca Guerra July 27, 2016 During his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention, Donald Trump stated that “household incomes are down more than $4,000 since the year 2000.” Many “fact checkers” of Trump’s speech … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • Fetal Pain: Response to the Journal of the American Medical Association
    Posted by justfacts on 2016-06-22 at 11:40

    June 22, 2016 Howard Bauchner, MD Editor in Chief JAMA and The JAMA Network Dear Dr. Bauchner: Thank you for replying to my request for retraction. I truly appreciate the time that you took to look into this matter. However, … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • Deadly Falsehoods About the Orlando Shooting and Gun Control
    Posted by justfacts on 2016-06-20 at 16:04

    By James D. Agresti June 20, 2016 In the wake of the Orlando nightclub massacre, many public figures have littered the issue of gun control with falsehoods that have deadly implications. The facts below address some of the most pervasive … Continue reading &rarr […]

  • Fetal Pain Facts and Falsehoods
    Posted by justfacts on 2016-05-23 at 18:40

    By James D. Agresti May 23, 2016 Updated 5/25/16 The states of Utah and South Carolina recently passed laws concerning abortions at 20 weeks after fertilization. This is the stage of development shown in the photograph on the right. Before … Continue reading &rarr […]

 Posted by at 06:33
Jan 132016
 

Dr. Spencer is an internationally recognized climatologist who explains things like why we do not know whether man is causing any climate change or not.

Or, is the planet really warming all over?

Roy Spencer, PhD. Climate Change Research Scientist, Author, Former NASA Scientist

  • Errors in Estimating Earth’s No-Atmosphere Average Temperature
    Posted by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2016-09-27 at 14:45

    ABSTRACT While the non-linearity of the Stefan-Boltzmann equation leads to at least a 60 deg. C overestimate of the Moon’s average surface temperature if a global-average solar flux is used in place of computing temperatures over a sphere with a diurnal cycle, the error is only about 5 deg. C for the Earth. The difference […]

  • UAH Global Temperature Update for August, 2016: +0.44 deg. C
    Posted by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2016-09-01 at 13:25

    August Temperature Up a Little from July NOTE: This is the seventeenth monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the old Version 5.6 dataset are discussed here. Note we are now at “beta5” for Version 6, and the paper describing the methodology is back to the journal editors from peer review. The […]

  • Simple Time-Dependent Model of the Atmospheric Greenhouse Effect
    Posted by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2016-08-30 at 19:02

    I thought it would be a useful followup to post a simple time-dependent energy balance model (spreadsheet attached) to demonstrate how infrared radiative flows affect the Earth’s surface temperature and atmospheric temperature. (I might have done this before…it sounds familiar). The model is the simplest I could come up with to demonstrate how an atmosphere […]

  • Experiment Results Show a Cool Object Can Make a Warm Object Warmer Still
    Posted by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2016-08-28 at 20:03

    My previous post explaining a simple experiment to demonstrate that a cool object can make a warm object warmer still led me to give the experiment a try. The purpose is to demonstrate that, energetically, the atmosphere’s greenhouse effect can make the surface of the Earth warmer than if the greenhouse effect didn’t exist even […]

  • Simple Experimental Demonstration that Cool Objects Can Make Warm Objects Warmer Still
    Posted by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2016-08-26 at 15:31

    I continue to receive emails (not to mention the hundreds of sometimes nasty blog comments) objecting to what I just expressed in the title of this article. So, I thought it would be useful to propose a simple experiment that demonstrates the concept. This is a considerably simpler task than my recently proposed experiment to […]

  • Observational Evidence of the “Greenhouse Effect” at Desert Rock, Nevada
    Posted by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2016-08-23 at 16:49

    Weather balloon measurements have been made twice daily at Desert Rock, Nevada for many years. In 1998, a surface radiation (SURFRAD) measurement facility was also installed there, which allows new kinds of analysis of how the radiation budget is affected by atmospheric profiles of temperature and humidity. The location is arid, minimizing the influence of […]

  • Major Hurricane Gaston? A Potential U.S. Threat
    Posted by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2016-08-19 at 15:41

    With the climatological peak in hurricane activity only 3 weeks away, the Atlantic has been fairly quiet so far, despite seasonal forecasts of a more active than normal season. But recent forecast model runs have been consistently predicting that a low pressure wave in the tropical eastern Atlantic will become Tropical Storm Gaston in the […]

  • Causes of Lake Superior Record Water Level Rise 2013-2014
    Posted by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2016-08-19 at 14:03

    As a followup to my cursory analysis suggesting increased precipitation was the probable cause of the record rise in Lake Superior water levels during 2013-2014, the GLERL folks pointed me to a relatively recent paper they published (Hydrologic Drivers of Record-Setting Water Level Rise on Earth’s Largest Lake System) which provides a detailed analysis of […]

  • Lake Superior Water Levels: The Role of Precipitation
    Posted by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2016-08-17 at 15:28

    The last couple years have seen exceptional erosion along portions of the south shore of Lake Superior, especially where the ground is very sandy. The following photo was recently taken west of Whitefish Point in the eastern Upper Peninsula of Michigan, of a cabin built in the 1950s: While water levels have been on a […]

  • Suggested Backyard Experiment to Measure the Greenhouse Effect of More Carbon Dioxide
    Posted by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. on 2016-08-14 at 15:39

    In my continuing battle to keep people from being led astray by bad science, I sometimes try to think of new ways to demonstrate the existence of the Earth’s so-called greenhouse effect (GHE). I won’t bore you with all of the many evidences I’ve already offered over the years, but instead get right to the […]

 Posted by at 23:07
Jan 132016
 

“In the realm of ideas there has been no better publication in Australia over the last fifty years than Quadrant magazine.”
— Former Prime Minister John Howard

Quadrant Online » Opinion The leading general intellectual journal of ideas, literature, poetry and historical and political debate published in Australia.

  • Close But No Cigar
    Posted by Roger Franklin on 2016-09-27 at 19:54

    The pundit class seems to agree that Hillary Clinton, if she did not actually 'win' the first presidential debate, did better than Trump, while online polls suggest the wider public gave the nod to her rival. What's certain is that the Republican has plenty of ammunition at hand for their next two encountersThe post Close But No Cigar appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • A Simple Education in Funding
    Posted by Roger Franklin on 2016-09-27 at 11:21

    Pay no heed to teacher unions' pleas for more more taxpayer money, which they hope the voting public will regard as leading inevitably to higher scores and smarter kids. What they won't admit is that Australia's declining test results are born of the the very system and policies they championThe post A Simple Education in Funding appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • Contrition, Amends, Redemption
    Posted by Roger Franklin on 2016-09-26 at 04:41

    Abuse of power in the Church, whether expressed as sexual abuse, verbal, emotional or in other forms, is sin. Attempts to deal with abuse that fail to recognise this reality will inevitably be inadequate, will not lead to healing for victims, will not prevent  abuse, will not restore the Church's credibilityThe post Contrition, Amends, Redemption appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • The Folly of Turning the Other Cheek
    Posted by Roger Franklin on 2016-09-25 at 23:52

    Desecrate a Bible and it will be acclaimed as 'art'. Depict Islam's founder, even with deference and respect, and expect not merely a riot but expressions of sympathic regret from our cultural quislings. With Christianity under siege on so many fronts, a spirited defence is the only responseThe post The Folly of Turning the Other Cheek appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

  • The Bulldog Breed
    Posted by Roger Franklin on 2016-09-24 at 12:56

    On Saturday the Western Bulldogs -- once and always known as Footscray -- beat the Giants and won the right to contest next weekend's AFL Grand Final, which they last won in 1954. How that first and only flag came to hang at Whitten Oval is a story of footy, Melba and, most of all, of MelbourneThe post The Bulldog Breed appeared first on Quadrant Online. […]

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